The bitcoin price surges seven percent in less than four hours (source: coinmarketcap.com)
On May 17, as CCN reported, the bitcoin price briefly plunged to $6,400 by more than 18 percent against the U.S. dollar.
Market eating up an 18% bitcoin drop quickly is a sign of positive sentiment
Analysts including Dovey Wan, a founding partner at Primitive, stated that the brief price drop of bitcoin on Friday was likely due to manipulation engaged by a single investor.
As the investor sold 5,000 BTC on Bitstamp, it triggered contracts on BitMEX, which heavily relies on Bitstamp, to get liquidated.
This is what happened
1. A jackass put up an aggregated sell of 5000 $BTC on stamp
2. Stamp poor depth + algo glitch?
3. Bmx index is 50% on stamp
4. Massive Bmx liq tanked the mkt
5. Despite all ☝?BTC quickly bounced back to $7000
This might be the best chance to BTFMD
— Dovey Wan ? ? (@DoveyWan) May 17, 2019
Since dropping to $6,400, in less than two days, the bitcoin price has recovered to $8,000, by more than 25 percent within a 48-hour span.
The immediate absorption of the $13 billion decline in the market capitalization of bitcoin demonstrates the significant improvement in the sentiment around the cryptocurrency market.
Speaking to CCN on May 13, a cryptocurrency trader with an online alias “Satoshi Flipper” said that bitcoin is likely to face healthy retracement in the near-term coming off of a rally from $5,000 to $8,000.
But, the trader emphasized that once the retracement occurs, the dominant cryptocurrency is on track to sustain its momentum over the medium to long-term considering the momentum of the market in recent weeks.
The trader said:
I’ve been definitely vocal about a healthy BTC retrace, but I do not believe it will be a drastic 30% retrace back into the $4k’s. Once we form a local top, I believe we will 10% at the most, then settle down sideways.
That is when we’ll have a real altcoin season that everyone is expecting. Upon the immediate retrace, altcoins will take a small hit, but then when BTC settles down sideways, altcoins will rebound in a huge way.
Similarly, in an exclusive interview with CCN, Three Arrows Capital CEO Su Zhu stated that the brief fall of bitcoin to $6,400, which led investors to be cautious about the short-term trend of the asset, is unlikely to lead to a full-blown retracement.
“This is a purely market structure related move, I expect it to be bought up extremely quickly,” Zhu said.
As suggested by some investors, the market quickly absorbed the abrupt decline in the bitcoin price on May 17 and with volumes across the board on the rise, the momentum of the asset is expected to be sustained.
$BTC weekly update:
Resistance rejects, support supports.
And people say TA doesn’t work.
As long as 6400 holds I’ll be a better perm-bull than Parabolic Trav ever was.This still looks gorgeous to me and I won’t touch the red button for quite a while. pic.twitter.com/hVRmD40vjJ
— DonAlt (@CryptoDonAlt) May 18, 2019
The real 10 volume of bitcoin, which estimates the legitimate volume of the asset using the methodology created by Bitwise Asset Management, hovers at around $1 billion. In comparison, in March, the real 10 volume of bitcoin was at $270 million.
What catalysts are on the horizon?
According to Josh Rager, a cryptocurrency technical analyst, if bitcoin finds stability over the $8,200 level, the $9,000 region could be considered a reasonable target in the near-term.
“Bitcoin certainly looks to be pumping, now over previous resistance Price is near $8,000 & looks to be heading toward the $8,200 1D resistance (might consolidate prior) A close above $8,200 on the daily/weekly would be very bullish and would target $9,600+,” said Rager.
With the block reward halving expected to occur in May 2020, which historically has been a fundamental catalyst for bitcoin, and the custodial infrastructure supporting the asset class noticeably improving, the sentiment around the market may continue to progress in the upcoming weeks.
Click here for a real-time bitcoin price chart.