Traders expect ‘shallow’ Bitcoin price pullback before new all-time high

On Nov. 17 Bitcoin (BTC) set another 2020 high at $17,858, leading many traders to call for the top-ranked digital asset to overtake the $18,000 mark before the weekend. 


The rally to $17,858 occurred after a high volume surge pushed the price cleanly through the $17,100 to $17,300 range that many analysts believed would be a strong resistance level.

According to Decentrader co-founder, filbfilb, Bitcoin price could continue to march higher in the short-term if key underlying supports hold.


BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The popular analyst tweeted the above chart and said:

“The current PA could still very easily result in a blow-off towards the Golden Ratio Multiplier, currently at 19k.”

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

As shown on the weekly chart, Bitcoin is just a hair away from snatching the $19,763 all-time high reached on December 2017, and on multiple timeframes, the volume profile visible range (VPVR) shows there is little resistance above $17,000.

At the time of writing the price has pulled back to the $17,500 to $17,700 range as some traders take profits, but this isn’t necessarily a bad sign. To date, Bitcoin has rallied 12.57% since breaking through the $16,000 resistance, therefore a period of consolidation to build support for the next leg up is healthy and expected.

As for the fundamentals behind today’s price move and the possible outcomes for the short-term, Matt Blom, the head of global sales trading at EQUOS said:

“The market has extended to the upside, breaking above the trend channel and appears to be entering a blow-out phase. With a strong bull market, the tendency is to call a top, for me, the question is at what point does the rally become unstainable.”

Bitcoin price breaking from an ascending channel. Source: Matt Blom, TradingView

As BTC stormed through the $17,000 level, there was a lot of talk about whether the price would reject near the 2017 high or break through the ‘resistance’ and rally to a new all-time high.

According to Blom:

“If we drive up to $19,050 this week, I would expect a pullback to the $17,000 level. There’s a lot of new money in Bitcoin, they’ve never experienced a Bitcoin retracement! In the past, Bitcoin has retraced sharp up moves, but this time, there is one missing ingredient! The lack of auto-liquidation of leveraged longs.”

In 2017, the rally was driven purely by retail traders and a huge amount of FOMO, but in 2020 the scenario is much different.

BTC futures volume by exchange. Source: Digital Assets Data

All throughout 2020 Cointelegraph has reported on the growing trend of large-size Bitcoin acquisitions by institutional investors. Data also shows that the increasing volumes at regulated Bitcoin and Ethereum derivatives markets is the result of bigger hands becoming involved with Bitcoin.

Blom said:

“The fact the market is now focusing its rallying efforts during the iinstitutional working week is a clear indication that real money has arrived, which leads me to believe the pull-back many are expecting maybe shallow.”